By Baodong Liu (auth.)
The historical election of Barack Obama, the 1st African-American president is analyzed from the viewpoint of racial kin. to track the influence of time, Liu hyperlinks Obama's multiracial successful coalition to the two-party approach and the profound impression of racial adjustments considering 1965.
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Additional resources for The Election of Barack Obama: How He Won
Political parties may intentionally make strategic plans to change the electorate so that they can be in an advantageous location in the coalition space. 12 Sometimes, when a political party grows to the extent where it represents an “overwhelming majority” or “grand coalition,” there is a strong incentive for the party leaders to “minimize” it. ”13 The political reasons for the changing electorate can also be related to short-term factors, sometimes even within one election cycle. For example, a successful Get Out The Vote (GOTV) program can change the electorate in favor of the party that increases the turnout of its loyal voters.
2. The only variable needed to draw the minimum winning coalition line is Wp. 3. The minimum winning coalition line connects A and B. Point A indicates the minimum white vote ratio when a uniracial all white coalition is built and no minority cast vote for the candidate, and Point B shows the minimum white vote ratio when a multiracial coalition is built and all minority votes are cast for the candidate. 4. If Wp decreases, then the slope of the minimum winning coalition decreases; Wr1 increases and Wr2 decreases.
6. It is A Minimum Winning Coalition 31 clear that the Democratic Party has developed a fairly large racial gap in their coalitions since the 1964 presidential election. Whites never offered more than 50 percent support for the Democratic Party after 1964 (again, Obama’s racial coalition was a typical Democratic coalition, which is close to the minimum winning coalition line rather than an overwhelming majority coalition). What happened after 1964? It is important to see the role of President Lyndon B.