Download Double Down: Game Change 2012 by John Heilemann, Mark Halperin PDF

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By John Heilemann, Mark Halperin

From the authors of the number 1 New York Times bestseller Game Change, an explosive account of the 2012 presidential election, pulling again the curtain to bare the exhilarating, newsbreaking tale at the back of the headlines for the 1st time

John Heilemann and Mark Halperin set the nationwide dialog on hearth with their bestselling account of the 2008 presidential election, Game Change. In Double Down, they practice their remarkable entry and storytelling savvy to the 2012 election, rendering an both compelling narrative concerning the circuslike Republican nomination struggle, the increase and fall of Mitt Romney, and the rigors, tribulations, and Election Day triumph of Barack Obama.

Drawing on hundreds of thousands of interviews with the folks who lived the tale, Heilemann and Halperin carry one other reportorial travel de strength that reads like a fast moving novel. personality pushed and discussion wealthy, replete with extravagantly specified scenes, Double Down offers a breathtaking account of a crusade straight away intensely challenging fought and lastingly consequential. For Obama, the victory he completed intended much more to him than the single he had pulled off 4 years prior. In 2008, he believed, citizens had wager on a wish; in 2012, they handed confident judgment on what he’d really performed, permitting him to ward off a loss that will have rendered his presidency a failed, one-term twist of fate. For the Republicans, however, 2012 not just provided a crushing verdict yet an existential problem: to reconsider and reconstitute the celebration or face irrelevance—or even extinction. Double Down is the sometimes stunning, usually hilarious, eventually definitive account of an election of singular value.

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1978, Lamounier 1989, Liu 1991), I model authoritarian “precurtain” decisions to hold elections and modify electoral institutions as the result both of shifts in support within the authoritarian’s internal coalition and of pressure by actors outside this authoritarian coalition. Unlike most previous studies, I emphasize opposition-authoritarian bargaining and the electoral arena, arguing in Chapter 2 that this is a defining characteristic of protracted transitions. beyond “the opposition” as unitary actors: parties, movements, and party-movements For most Third Wave transitions, particularly those where regimes toppled decisively and were replaced with comparable drama, bargaining between state and opposition political parties was a secondary mechanism.

Not surprisingly, Hypotheses 3 and 4 were mostly confirmed for both the PAN and the PRD. However, novel results were obtained from my multinomial logit models, reported in Chapter 5, regarding Hypotheses 1 and 2. The most important empirical finding of the whole study was that both PRD and PAN behaviors disconfirmed Hypothesis 1, that strong electoral institutions encourage postelectoral compliance. For the PRD in particular, the opposite relationship held; party activists were more likely to mobilize after elections in states with electoral institutions that – on paper at least – were more autonomous of the executive branch, than in states with weak formal institutions.

0521820014c01 0 521 82001 4 August 1, 2003 Electoral Courts and Actor Compliance 12:0 27 2. Patronage seeking: Opposition parties willing to play by authoritarian rules, with the eventual but distant objective of liberalizing the electoral system, in the meantime obtaining offices, public financing, and other resources in exchange for loyally “fronting” opposition candidates to make the regime look competitive. 3. Antiregime: Hard-line opposition that refuses to even participate in authoritarian institutions and seeks instead to undermine them, usually through protest mobilizations.

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